Workshop "Probabilistic risk analysis and Bayesian decision theory"
Workshop of the IBS-DR working groups Ecology and Environment, Bayes Methods and Spatial Statistics, as well as the DVFFA working group Biometry.
Lübeck, September 24-26, 2025.
Venue:
Universität zu Lübeck
Haus C4
Mönkhofer Weg 239
23562 Lübeck
51°30'13.4"N 10°42'01.0"E
Announcement and call for papers
Wednesday, September 24, 2025:
| 16:00-16:30 | Opening, short introduction of organizers and attendees | |
| 16:00-17:30 | Marcel van Oijen, Mark Brewer (Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland): Tutorial Probabilistic risk analysis and Bayesian decision theory, Part 1 | |
| 18:00 | Joint dinner at Im alten Zolln |
Thursday, September 25, 2025:
| 09:00-10:30 | Marcel van Oijen, Mark Brewer (Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland): Tutorial Probabilistic risk analysis and Bayesian decision theory, Part 2 | |
| 10:30-11:00 | Break | |
| 11:00-11:30 | Reinhard Vonthein (Uni Lübeck): Introduction to Bayesian statistics for physicians | [abstract] |
| 11:30-12:00 | Amelie Friedsam (RKI Berlin): Geo-speatial characteristics of 567 places of tick-borne ecephalitis infection in southern Germany, 2018–2020 | [abstract] |
| 12:00-12:30 | Katharina Wöhs (Uni Salzburg): Salzburg-dengue ABM: a prototypical agent-based model to simulate a dengue infection via Aedes albopictus in Austria | [abstract] |
| 12:30-14:00 | Lunch break | |
| 14:00-15:30 | Marcel van Oijen, Mark Brewer (Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland): Tutorial Probabilistic risk analysis and Bayesian decision theory, Part 3 | |
| 15:30-16:00 | Break | |
| 16:00-16:30 | Boris Kauhl (AOK Nordost): Small-area risk for various types of cancer and regional participation quotes in cancer screenings - is there a socioeconomic gradient? | [abstract] |
| 16:30-17:00 | Fabian Kohrs: Benchmarking MCMC samplers on challenging synthetic posteriors | [abstract] |
| 15:30-16:00 | Working meetings of the 3 working groups (IBS-DR and DVFFA) | |
| 18:00 | Joint dinner at VAI |
Friday, September 26, 2025:
| 09:00-10:30 | Marcel van Oijen, Mark Brewer (Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland): Tutorial Probabilistic risk analysis and Bayesian decision theory, Part 4 | |
| 10:30-11:00 | Summary, farewell |
(note: all times are CET (UTC+2))